While symmetrically designed, Kauffman Stadium's expansive power alleys may limit home runs, but they lend themselves to an increase in other extra-base hits, more than making up for the lack of long balls that we normally find in a hitter's park. Originally, I wanted to incorporate three years worth of park-factor data into these rankings, as three years would give us a better idea as to whether a number in a particular category was an aberration or a trend for the park in question. Minute Maid has operated in this range for three years now after functioning as a pretty strong hitters park beforehand. Ross Detwiler (12) In 2021, that rate was 3.65 HR per 100 PA. #11 - Globe Life Field (Rangers) - 99.8 Overall Park Factor, 103.2 Fly Ball (12th), 108 Home Run (8th). All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. He's finished in the top 10 accuracy scores among experts here, at Fantasy Pros, in three of four years competing with his colleagues including a first-place finish in 2012. Well, then. Also, as you might expect, singles park factors (0.24) didnt correlate as well as other types of base hits. When we think of "hitter-friendly" ballparks, Coors Field and Yankee Stadium are often the first two that come to mind due to the tendency for fly balls to travel beyond the outfield walls and into the hands of a lucky fan. American Family functioned as an extreme hitters park in the mid-2010s, but has settled in as one of those more homer-than-run-friendly parks of which we have now spoken multiple times. You may opt-out by. For fans of high-scoring games, there's no better place to watch baseball than Coors Field. BONUS: TD Ballpark Measurements, in feet (L-R, dead center in bold): 333, 380, 400 , 363, 336 The Jays will open the 2021 season playing at their spring training facility in Dunedin, Fla., TD . When we think of "hitter-friendly" ballparks, Coors Field and Yankee Stadium are often the first two that come to mind due to the tendency for fly balls to travel beyond the outfield walls and into the hands of a lucky fan. #3 Fenway Park Fenway Park being towards the top of this list shouldn't stun anyone. Right-handed sluggers, like Miguel Cabrera, have taken advantage of that redesign, with the two-time defending AL MVP smacking nearly 32 percent of his 366 career home runs at Comerica. How about the Mets and Braves home parks essentially finishing in a dead heat on this list, just like they did in the NL East standings? FantasyPros Baseball Podcast: Leading Off, Monday, April 17 (2023), MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions: Monday (4/17), Fantasy Baseball Risers & Fallers: Week 3 (2023), Fantasy Baseball Daily Opener: Brett Baty, Zach Neto, Alek Manoah (4/17), Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Players to Watch: Week 3 (2023), Fantasy Baseball Stock Report: Week 3 (2023), Sorare MLB Game Week 6 Strategy & Advice: April 17 (2023), Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com . become a hit. Its 2022 #1 overall ranking wouldnt have been possible without an outlier 141.5 grounder park factor. ), but in my most paranoid state, I cannot imagine anyone thinking, Lets secretly install humidor *in Los Angeles*. Earlier this season, I pointed to a dramatic shift in the behavior of Busch, which has consistently been an extreme pitchers park. As I do in my other analysis here, I took all batted balls and compared actual performance to projections based on the application of MLB average production to each exit speed/launch angle bucket. It hasnt posted a higher than average doubles or triples park factor over the last decade. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,
Small ballparks like Cincinnati play well from both sides, where foul poles are less than 330 feet away. Pretty neutral park, except for two factors - its posted a lower than average triples park factor for 9 of the last 10 seasons, and an average or above singles park factor for 8 straight seasons. Over the past two seasons, Citi Field has seen the seventh-fewest runs scored (1,239), the 12th-fewest home runs hit (304) and a slugging percentage (.372) that is the eighth-lowest in the game. It would be a great development for the Phillies if things click for Moniak in his second taste of the bigs but the Phillies surely have their eyes on players around the league capable of playing center field, even this early . But what about 2014, you ask? A range-based metric of skill that shows how many outs a #23 - Oriole Park at Camden Yards (Orioles) - 95.3 Overall Park Factor, 86.0 Fly Ball (24th), 83 Home Run (27th). While thats somewhat normal for liners, grounder park factors usually correlate much more closely. 2021 MLB Draft Guide: Ballpark Factors. The same small sample caveat applies to Marlins Park and the forthcoming Oracle Park, but some data is better than none. It posted the lowest liner park factor (86.6) in the game this season. OK, that's notreallya spoiler if you checked out our rankings ofMLB's most hitter-friendly ballparkslast week, but for those who missed it, take my word for it. Let's tackle the more pitcher-friendly half of the 30 MLB parks today, and move on to the hitter-friendly ones tomorrow. Though it has now posted higher than average homer park factors for five straight. It is something that happens to almost every team once a week. Fenways doubles park factor has been 107 or higher each of the last 10 seasons, and 116+ in 9 of them. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Those park factors are in stark contrast to the three-year marks of 0.919 for runs and 0.772 for homers. Marlins Park (Marlins) With the deepest center field of any park in baseballone that features a flagpole and hill that are in playyou'd think that Minute Maid Park in Houston would be more of a pitcher's park than a hitter's park. Additionally, the parks with the most extreme factors for run-scoring and homers are also featured. Actually, you can almost throw a net over the parks in the middle third of this list. Fly ball park factors correlated even more closely (0.73). I consider Wrigley as neutral to slightly hitter-friendly, a venue that will jump up and down on this list more than your typical park. On a year-to-year basis (2022 vs. 2021), my overall park factors had a 0.66 correlation coefficient. In data analyzed by Baseball Savant's Statcast from 2019-21 , the 27-year-old stadium generated 14% more offense, compared to fellow MLB ballparks, including 19% more hits, 16% more home runs, and the second most triples (behind Comerica . #15 - Truist Park (Braves) - 99.2 Overall Park Factor, 90.7 Fly Ball (21st), 93 Home Run (20th). Oakland with a 32% decline in HR% on hits with that LA/EV6 teams with a >25% decline These are astounding numbers. The difference is that instead of weighting each statistic as they do, we simply assign a numerical value (equal to its ranking in the category) to each ballpark for each statistic and then add them up. Offensively, you can't stand it. It took us until #10 to get to our first park factor above 100. The park lends itself to a power surge thanks to reasonable power alleys, a prevailing wind and outfield fences no higher than eight feet. and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed. Our tour of the NL East continues (still no Marlins!). This is perhaps the king of the Homer But Not Necessarily Run-Friendly parks. Heres another park that allows homers, but reduces run-scoring in many other ways. As my eyes and ears continue to fool, its hard not to presume more external forces are at play. Tropicana Field (Tampa Bay Rays) (Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports) Located across the bay in St. Petersburg and offering. Which group would you expect to give up more homers? There's been an increase in home runs, with Safeco coming in with the ninth-lowest total in baseball over the past two seasons (286), but even that power surge hasn't resulted in a dramatic increase in runs scored (1,203, fourth-lowest) or slugging percentage (.366, third-lowest). #25 - Target Field (Twins) - 94.8 Overall Park Factor, 82.2 Fly Ball (27th), 87 Home Run (26th). Let's take a look at what the numbers tell us as we rank the 15 most hitter-friendly ballparks in baseball. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. Despite playing like an extreme pitcher's park in 2014 and having deep corners, only the ballpark at No. How quickly, in seconds, a catcher can get the ball out Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians, Friday, June 3, 2022, in Baltimore. by Handedness, Joey Wendle Is Leading the Charge for the White Hot Rays. ESPN's Park Factorsgrades ballparks around baseball in six different categoriesruns scored, home runs, hits, doubles, triples and walksand the grading system is pretty straightforward: Any grade higher than 1.000 favors the hitter, while anything below 1.000 favors the pitcher. For a few years there in the mid-2010s, Petco fluctuated between a hitters/pitchers park due to shifts in the marine layer, but it has been a consistent pitchers park since. It is also interesting that Oracle Park in San Francisco has seen a 15.5-point bump in home run rate, likely due to the Giants moving their fences in for the 2020 season. For more from Josh, check out hisarchiveand follow him@BChad50. Its a zero sum game. Cellular/Guaranteed Rate Field in 132,110 plate appearances, or 3.36 HR per 100 PA. Stream exclusive games on ESPN+ and play Fantasy Baseball. Check out all of our 2021 fantasy baseball draft prep content. Sure, the Green Monster turns fly balls to left field into singlesif an outfielder knows how to play the ball off the wallbut the park's oddly designed outfield, with deep power alleys and walls of various heights, lends itself to routinely high amounts of doubles and triples being hit there. For transparencys sake, here are all 28 parks average exit velocities and average launch angles on fly balls within this range in both 2019 and 21, excluding the Blue Jays and Rangers, who played in different stadiums in 2019 than they do currently. At the very end of this slideshow, you'll find a completely different set of rankings, one that uses a completely different ranking system. Whats going on there is straight-up weird. Visit ESPN for MLB live scores, video highlights and latest news. #5 - Oracle Park (Giants) - 107.0 Overall Park Factor, 106.2 Fly Ball (10th), 82 Home Run (28th). In general, curve balls will be a little less snappy, and fastballs will get about an extra six inches of giddy-up due to the decrease in resistance the thinner air provides. Carlos Rodon (7) All three are analyzed. You may opt-out by. Another homer haven that steals runs in other ways. So, fasten your shoulder harnesses, keep both hands on the bar in front you at all times, and enjoy the ride. #19 - Kauffman Stadium (Royals) - 97.2 Overall Park Factor, 78.1 Fly Ball (29th), 75 Home Run (30th). Wrigley has a reputation as a hitters park, but that is not entirely true. Even the crack of the bat oft proves misleading. window.". Why are we only focusing on 2012 and 2013? While offense at Chase Field has been down so far in 2014, that will pick up as the season progresses, once again putting the home of the Arizona Diamondbacks near the top of the list when it comes to hitter-friendly venues in baseball. Heres Busch Stadium, for example: To mitigate the effects of player-specific changes driving these shifts in home run rates, I built a simple model that incorporated a 201921 change in average exit velocity to the associated change in home run rate. Altitude is the catalyst - fly balls carry farther, fences are set back farther to increase size of outfield and its gaps, and this is the result, humidor or not. It snuck onto the bottom of the hitter-friendly group by being the best park in the majors for singles this season (108 singles park factor). All in all, a fairly neutral park, though it gets there in unusual ways. the Cincinnati Reds in the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Great American Ball Park on August 19, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Location matters, as the humid summers and the winds that blow in off of the bay help to keep the ball in the park. as well as any changes to these (such as Anaheim lowering their RF fences or Arizona adding a humidor in 2018). Another important effect of altitude on baseball is the influence thinner air has on pitching. In an attempt to remain consistent, we'll use the same parameters for our ranking systemtotal up the ratings in all six categories that are tracked byESPN's Park Factorsfrom 2012 to 2013 anddivide that total by six to give us one overall park factor, which we call total park factor (TPF). Even still, after using a model to fit the change in home run rates of each ballpark to account for any exit velocity changes, there was quite a significant difference for certain parks that is more likely to be the result of non-player effects, like the baseball or the addition of a humidor. Pretty much a neutral park, except for a couple of factors. Obviously, Comerica is a big home run denier. At the beginning of May, I wrote two articles about the slightly-deadened baseballs effect on league-wide home run rates. Partial-season park factors, while useful to see how a ballpark iscurrentlyplaying, as we have with the 2014 figures, are simply too flawed to use in our calculations. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Back in the mid-2010s, it functioned as more of a hitters park, but since then, no more, making Aaron Judges 2021 feats all that much more amazing. But there are a few stadiums that are harder to explain. Absolutely agree. #12 - Tropicana Field (Rays) - 99.5 Overall Park Factor, 103.8 Fly Ball (11th), 108 Home Run (9th). Also, as you might expect, singles park factors (0.24) didnt correlate as well as other types of base hits. How much time, in seconds, it takes a runner to get from First, here are the raw home run rates for these types of fly balls for each ballpark from 2019 to 21. While the park has now posted a higher than average fly ball park factor for three straight seasons. This park has now been slightly hitter-friendly in 2021-22 after 8 straight pitcher-friendly seasons. As I do in my other analysis here, I took all batted balls and compared actual performance to projections based on the application of MLB average production to each exit speed/launch angle bucket. And if a team was stupid enough to leave one entire half of the infield wide open for you? Though as a frequent viewer of Brewers games, I can attest that Ive seen far more balls that appear to be hit on the screws (or thereabouts) go nowhere this year. Coors dramatically inflates offense on liners, dramatically inflates doubles and triples, you name it. While we may not see quite as many home runs as we have in the past due to Milwaukee's improved rotation and bullpen, the offense is comingand by season's end, Miller Park's 2014 park factors will more closely resemble those that we've become accustomed to. This may be due in some part to a relatively temperate, not very humid summer that also affected other northern parks bordering the Great Lakes. Yes, it inflates run-scoring - but it consistently deflates homer totals. Its homer park factor has been over two standard deviations above league average in six of the last seven seasons, posting an MLB high in all seven. Enjoy the high-octane offense while you can, for the park is likely to regress back toward its norms the deeper we get into the season. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Dallas Keuchel (11) raw numbers and as a measurement against average. And this place thwarted grounder production long before Nolan Arenado arrived - its posted a sub-100 grounder factor in 7 of the last 8 seasons. Do Not Sell My Personal Information, Next Up - FantasyPros Baseball Podcast: Leading Off, Monday, April 17 (2023), 0 K. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Only one other American League park, Angel Stadium, has seen more balls clear the fences this year (16) than the 15 that have reached the seats on Chicago's South Side, while four balls have rolled around the outfield long enough for batters to reach third base. Each number is set so that "100" is average for that metric, and the park-specific number is generated by looking at each batter and pitcher, controlled by handedness, and comparing the frequency of that metric in the selected park compared to the performance of those players in other parks. Or you can click on the link to see for yourself, read through this slideshowor do both. Reynaldo Lopez (33) You don't currently have any notifications. #6 - Wrigley Field (Cubs) - 104.8 Overall Park Factor, 113.0 Fly Ball (4th), 103 Home Run (14th). Its one of 7 ballparks that have posted average or higher homer park factors in each of the last 10 seasons. #26 - Progressive Field (Guardians) - 94.7 Overall Park Factor, 95.6 Fly Ball (18th), 102 Home Run (16th). It typically would rate as a bit more hitter-friendly, but 2022 was the first time since 2015 that PNC posted a sub-100 doubles park factor (at 99). But its not just the baseball that is contributing here. They would shorten up their swing with 2 strikes, just trying to make contact. (Video) MLB Stadiums Ranked | MLB Ballparks 2021 Updated. Published: Feb 16, 2021. . 9 to No. Better pitchers/worse hitters might be a factor, but what is the coefficient next to that variable? 4895 Unlike most park factors, I use one year worth of data, not two or more. Still, its 91 homer park factor matched its high mark over the last decade, and its 93.3 fly ball park factor is the highest over that span. . From 2012 to 2013, Angel Stadium ranked 15th in runs scored (1,380), 16th in slugging percentage (.402) and 17th in home runs (318). While doubles are down and triples are up this season, those two categories will even themselves out as the season progresses, as Comerica remains one of the premier destinations for hitters looking for an edge. Typically, the Brewers home park is going to finish in the top half of this list. How high/low, in degrees, a ball was hit by a batter. Since 2015, Petco hasnt had a homer park factor lower than 97. The granular nature of the data being utilized tends to smooth things out and yield very reliable results. Park factors are not affected by the quality of a team's hitters or pitchers. With the shortest corners in baseball310 feet to the 37-foot-tall Green Monster in left field, 302 feet to Pesky's Pole in rightbaseball's oldest stadium, Fenway Park, which opened in 1912, has been one of the game's most hitter-friendly stadiums for nearly as long. Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA). This article will discuss various known ballparks to truly understand the effects of this . While the park grades out as a slightly hitter-friendly venue in 2014, it's been anything but that over the past two years, with a .393 slugging percentage that stands alone as the 12th-lowest among MLB ballparks. In addition, the winds that blow in off Lake Michigan, while unpredictable, tend to carry balls over the outstretched gloves of leaping outfielders more often than they hold balls up. The best is probably Shippett, it has less elevation but the walls are much closer than Coors. Though the outfield dimensions are among the largest . 1 Now, this is about as low as this park can possibly finish on this list - its been an above average homer park in 9 of the last 10 years, and had been an above average doubles park for nine straight years entering 2022 (99 this season). per week - 9 months per year - Includes Benefits! A ball park that didnt impact actual projection at all would receive a 100 park factor; those that inflated projected production get a higher mark, those that deflated get a lower one. Take a look at both and let us know which you think is the more effective ranking systemand whyin the comments below. One of these reasons for varying splits is the differing of all Ballparks across the MLB. Pitchers arent any better. Citizens Bank Park is the third venue that boosts homers by more than 20%, and it slightly increases runs (1.034 park factor for runs). No big shock here. The conclusion was pretty much exactly what youd expect: A bouncier ball with more drag did reduce home runs, particularly among softer-hit balls at lower launch angles. Dont want to ignore the categories with lower correlation coefficients; liner (0.13) and grounder (0.12) park factors didnt correlate well this time around. Hector Santiago (2) Its tough to be a significantly pitcher-friendly park in light of the latter, even with such an unusually low 2022 fly ball park factor. Pay little attention to the team's hitter-friendly TPF in 2014, which has been caused largely by an abnormally high number of triples so far in 2014 (seven in nine games). 2022 marked the 10th straight season that PNC recorded a homer park factor below 100. A HR park factor of 1.03, for instance, would mean that the park boosts HRs by 3% more than average. FC Barcelona Prepare Bombshell Announcement For New Squad: Reports, New York Yankees, Minnesota Twins Offer Differing Views Of Domingo Germans Sticky Situation. While most think of parks impacting home runs, parks actually impact everything that happens on the field. pitch. In 2019, these events were the wall scrapers that barely went out of the yard. Unlike many of the parks discussed so far, PNC is ripe for some damage in the air, but more from yielding doubles and triples rather than home runs. 390 to Center (Tennessee) is going to be VERY hitter friendly. #18 - Minute Maid Park (Astros) - 98.3 Overall Park Factor, 111.9 Fly Ball (6th), 112 Home Run (6th). A statistically significant change in pitcher and hitter quality in just 2 years seems unlikely. Great American Ballpark has above average extra base hit park factors to the right-handed hitters, and extreme home run park factors for both sides of the plate. Although, Kauffman Stadium ticks up singles (1.102), doubles (1.153), triples (1.329), and runs (1.061). Its 96 mark was just a notch off of its decade high. Rather than use ESPN's Park Factors, these rankings are based on raw data across three statistical categoriesruns scored, home runs and slugging percentagethe same three fields used by the folks over attheSporting News' Fantasy Focus when compiling their Ballpark Power Index. Lowest mark is 145.0, less than two standard deviations above average only once. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); These are the top run-scoring environments in Major League Baseball, and Coors Field is the unrivaled top dog. A major limiting factor this time around was an odd MLB-low 77.3 grounder park factor that really looks like a one-off aberration. This is a BETA experience. As for how the park has played in 2014, we can reasonably expect that as the temperature rises, so, too, will the offensive numbers of the teams that play there. Could there also be a weather issue of comparing a full season to a partial one? Read on to find out where this world-famous venue landed in our rankings. 8 mo. Do you see what's missing? No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. It should be noted that Amarillo and Reno play in hitter-friendly ballparks and Thomas had a much better slugging percentage at home (.667) than on the road (.462). It has posted higher than average homer park factors for 10 straight seasons now, with 8 of those seasons checking in at 110 or higher. It should come as no surprise, then, that the Orioles have hit more combined home runs (426) than any other team over that two-year span, with more than 65 percent of those coming at home. This was the lowest overall park factor posted by Progressive over the last decade, with its lowest single-season fly ball park factor since 2015. Average ERA:3.66 (10th in MLB from 2012-13). I would venture to say that almost no one sees Dodger Stadium as a hitters park, and while this years overall park factor does mark a high over the past decade, there are some truly hitter-friendly aspects to the place. Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. As is the case in Cincinnati, both the performances by the home team's pitching staff (1.80 ERA and .187 BAA at Miller Park) and those of the teams that have visited (Atlanta and Pittsburgh) have contributed to significantly lower offensive production than we normally see at the home of the sausage race. The table is sorted by raw percentage difference, but the statistical tests incorporate sample size, which is why certain rows may have smaller differences but are still significant at a more extreme alpha level: Whats interesting to note here is that 25 of the 28 parks listed experienced some level of decrease in home run rate, which aligns with the broader trend that I broke down about last month. While football fields are always 100 yards long and 53 1/3 yards wide, in baseball, you can find the 37-foot-high Green Monster in Boston, or the 420-foot-deep center field in Detroit, or the short porch in right in the Bronx, or just the general everything about Coors Field. Its hard not to presume more external forces are at play hitter quality in just years! A dramatic shift in the middle third of this list factor has been 107 or higher homer park over... Yourself, read through this slideshowor do both know which you think is the next. 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